Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.001809 0.001890 0.001973 0.002067 0.002170 0.002279 0.002405
2025-06-01 0.001656 0.001767 0.001888 0.002029 0.002192 0.002377 0.002603
2025-06-08 0.001585 0.001720 0.001872 0.002059 0.002283 0.002551 0.002902
2025-06-15 0.001522 0.001674 0.001850 0.002073 0.002352 0.002700 0.003186
2025-06-22 0.001453 0.001614 0.001805 0.002051 0.002370 0.002784 0.003392
2025-06-29 0.001390 0.001556 0.001756 0.002019 0.002368 0.002838 0.003560
2025-07-06 0.001344 0.001516 0.001724 0.002005 0.002388 0.002918 0.003775
2025-07-13 0.001276 0.001445 0.001651 0.001932 0.002319 0.002866 0.003774
2025-07-20 0.001244 0.001416 0.001630 0.001924 0.002339 0.002944 0.003993
2025-07-27 0.001223 0.001401 0.001624 0.001937 0.002389 0.003069 0.004314
2025-08-03 0.001193 0.001373 0.001600 0.001923 0.002397 0.003129 0.004528
2025-08-10 0.001178 0.001362 0.001598 0.001939 0.002451 0.003266 0.004920
2025-08-17 0.001153 0.001339 0.001580 0.001931 0.002469 0.003351 0.005233
2025-08-24 0.001124 0.001310 0.001552 0.001908 0.002461 0.003390 0.005458
2025-08-31 0.001115 0.001307 0.001560 0.001938 0.002541 0.003593 0.006140
2025-09-07 0.001102 0.001297 0.001557 0.001952 0.002595 0.003758 0.006798
2025-09-14 0.001079 0.001274 0.001534 0.001934 0.002592 0.003811 0.007165
2025-09-21 0.001054 0.001247 0.001506 0.001905 0.002570 0.003823 0.007414
2025-09-28 0.001035 0.001228 0.001488 0.001893 0.002576 0.003891 0.007883
2025-10-05 0.001001 0.001187 0.001437 0.001827 0.002483 0.003742 0.007531
2025-10-12 0.000986 0.001172 0.001425 0.001820 0.002495 0.003821 0.008055
2025-10-19 0.000978 0.001166 0.001424 0.001832 0.002540 0.003979 0.008999
2025-10-26 0.000963 0.001150 0.001408 0.001819 0.002540 0.004033 0.009552